Oil Updates – crude slips on higher US crude stockpiles; market watches Middle East

Brent crude futures eased 50 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $75.54 a barrel by 9:40 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 23 October 2024
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Oil Updates – crude slips on higher US crude stockpiles; market watches Middle East

SINGAPORE: Oil prices fell on Wednesday after industry data showed US crude inventories swelled more than expected, though declines were capped as the market watched diplomatic efforts in the Middle East after Israel continued attacks on Gaza and Lebanon.

Brent crude futures eased 50 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $75.54 a barrel by 9:40 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures shed 50 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $71.24 a barrel.

Crude futures settled higher in the two previous sessions this week.

“The market continues to wait for Israel’s response to Iran’s missile attack,” ING analysts said on Wednesday, adding the price strength on Tuesday was possibly due to the lack of outcome from US Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s latest visit to Israel.

Blinken held “extended conversations” with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and senior Israeli leaders, urging them to get more humanitarian aid into Gaza, a senior State Department official said.

Israel on Tuesday also confirmed it had killed Hashem Safieddine, the heir apparent to late Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah who was killed last month in an Israeli attack targeting the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group.

“Market participants priced for the Middle East conflict to drag for longer, with a ceasefire deal potentially seeing some gridlock,” said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.

“China’s recent stimulus efforts may translate to some success in stabilising conditions or even drive a more sustained recovery ahead, which may positively affect oil demand,” Yeap added.

Meanwhile, US crude stocks rose 1.64 million barrels last week, according to market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday, weighing on prices. Analysts polled by Reuters expected a 300,000-barrel increase in crude stocks.

Official US government oil inventory data is due on Wednesday at 5:30 p.m. Saudi time.

“With oil prices swinging from oversold to overbought territory within short time frames, maintaining a position in either side of the market can prove challenging,” Jim Ritterbusch, of Ritterbusch and Associates in Florida, said in a note.

Goldman Sachs on Tuesday said it expects oil prices to average $76 a barrel in 2025 based on a moderate crude surplus and spare capacity among producers in OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia.


Jordan’s foreign reserves surge by $2.11bn amid economic stability

Updated 11 min 16 sec ago
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Jordan’s foreign reserves surge by $2.11bn amid economic stability

RIYADH: Jordan’s foreign reserves, which include gold and special drawing rights, increased by $2.11 billion in the first nine months of the year, reaching a total of $20.23 billion by the end of September, according to official data from the Central Bank of Jordan.

This amount is sufficient to cover the country’s imports of goods and services for 8.1 months. In September alone, foreign reserves grew by $266.8 million. Compared to the same month last year, reserves have risen by $2.94 billion.

Data also indicated a rise in gold reserves, which climbed from $4.6 billion at the end of 2023 to $5.8 billion by the end of September. Total assets in gold and foreign currencies reached 16.1 billion Jordanian dinars ($22.7 billion), up from 14.7 billion Jordanian dinars at the beginning of the year.

Moreover, the nation’s total liabilities in foreign currencies decreased significantly, dropping from 1.6 billion Jordanian dinars at the start of the year to 1.3 billion by September.

This positive trend coincides with an economic upturn, as Jordan’s inflation averaged 1.7 percent in the first half of the year, down from 3 percent during the same period last year.

The stability of the Jordanian dinar, pegged to the US dollar, has contributed to this reduction in inflation. Estimates from S&P Global suggest that Jordan will end the year with $4.6 billion in usable reserves.

In September, S&P Global upgraded Jordan’s long-term foreign and local currency rating to “B+” from “BB-.” The agency also reaffirmed its “B” short-term ratings and revised its transfer and convertibility assessment from “BB” to “BB+.”

S&P noted that Jordan’s structural economic improvements are expected to remain resilient, despite regional pressures. The agency indicated that Jordan is well-positioned to leverage international support and has sufficient domestic policy buffers to mitigate impacts from regional conflicts on tourism and the broader economy.


Saudi Arabia pushes for global economic cooperation

Updated 17 min 12 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia pushes for global economic cooperation

  • Advocates for stronger partnerships to drive sustainable growth

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia has urged for stronger multilateral cooperation to promote sustainable economic growth during the annual meeting of global financial institutions in Washington. This was emphasized by Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan at the Macro Week event hosted by the Peterson Institute for International Economics on Oct. 22, alongside the 2024 International Monetary Fund and World Bank Group Annual Meetings.

Al-Jadaan is leading a high-level Saudi delegation participating in the meetings, including the fourth gathering of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors from Oct. 21-26.

In a post on his X account, Al-Jadaan shared: “On the sidelines of the 2024 IMF and World Bank annual meetings, I met with the World Bank Group’s chief economist, Indermit Gill, to discuss recent economic developments at both regional and global levels.”

He also engaged with IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva to review the latest global economic trends and explore ways to strengthen collaboration between Saudi Arabia and the IMF.

Notably, in December 2023, the IMF announced that Saudi Arabia will chair the International Monetary and Financial Committee from 2024 to 2027. This committee supports the organization’s board of governors in managing the international monetary and financial system and addressing potential disruptions.

Additionally, Al-Jadaan met with Pakistan’s Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb and other senior officials to discuss enhancing bilateral relations and economic cooperation. In another meeting, he spoke with Feras Milhem, governor of the Palestine Monetary Authority, to address the economic situation in the Palestinian Territories and potential collaborative efforts.

As chair of the IMFC, Al-Jadaan will facilitate discussions on global economic developments, identify policy priorities, and define the IMF's role in addressing these issues through policy advice, capacity building, and financial assistance.

The annual meetings bring together finance ministers, central bank governors, leaders from international organizations, private sector representatives, civil society, and academics to discuss significant global financial and economic developments, sustainable development, financial stability, and strategies for poverty alleviation.

On Tuesday, Al-Jadaan underlined that it was essential that global financial institutions continued to adjust quickly and decisively to solve challenges such as poverty and inequality.

“MDBs (multilateral development banks) need to increase their focus on capacity-building, as well as provide the support and advice needed,” Al-Jadaan said during his speech.

   


Saudi hotel spending rises 8.5% despite overall drop in POS transactions: SAMA

Updated 23 October 2024
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Saudi hotel spending rises 8.5% despite overall drop in POS transactions: SAMA

  • POS transactions dropped by 7.5% to SR11.3 billion, continuing a downward trend after a 2.6% increase in early October
  • Education sector experienced the biggest decline, with spending down 25.3% to SR94.1 million

RIYADH: Hotel spending in Saudi Arabia surged by 8.5 percent during the week of Oct. 13–19, reaching SR293.8 million ($78.2 million), despite an overall decline in point-of-sale transactions, official data showed. 

According to figures from the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, hotels were the only sector to see an increase, while spending across all other sectors fell. 

Overall, POS transactions dropped by 7.5 percent to SR11.3 billion, continuing a downward trend after a 2.6 percent increase in early October. 

The education sector experienced the biggest decline, with spending down 25.3 percent to SR94.1 million. Telecommunications and public utilities followed with drops of 14.7 percent and 12.4 percent, recording SR103.6 million and SR48.4 million, respectively. 

In contrast, spending on construction and building materials recorded the smallest decline, dipping 4.1 percent to SR331.2 million. 

Restaurant and cafe expenditures fell 5 percent to SR1.76 billion, while gas station spending dropped 5.7 percent to SR866.4 million.  

Looking at the biggest value of transactions this week, the food and beverages sector stepped down from the first spot as the biggest share of the POS, recording an 8.6 percent decrease to SR1.74 billion. 

This was followed by miscellaneous goods and services at SR1.3 billion with an 8.3 percent dip. 

Together, the top three categories accounted for nearly 45 percent of the week’s total POS value at SR5.1 billion. 

Geographically, Riyadh dominated POS transactions, representing 34.7 percent of the total, with spending in the capital reaching SR3.9 billion, recording a decrease of 6.9 percent. 

Jeddah followed closely with a 6.8 percent dip to SR1.5 billion, accounting for 13.8 percent of the total, and Dammam came in third at SR587 million, down by 6.3 percent. 

Hail saw the biggest decrease in spending, down by 10.3 percent to SR174 million. Abha and Buraidah also experienced declines, with expenditures dipping 8.3 percent and 9.1 percent to SR137 million and SR266.6 million, respectively. 

In terms of the number of transactions, Hail recorded the highest decrease for the second week in a row at 7.9 percent, reaching 3,478. Tabouk and Madinah followed with declines at 7.7 percent and 5.3 percent, reaching 4,362 and 8,038 transactions respectively. 

RIYADH: Hotel spending in Saudi Arabia surged by 8.5 percent during the week of Oct. 13–19, reaching SR293.8 million ($78.2 million), despite an overall decline in point-of-sale transactions, official data showed. 

According to figures from the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, hotels were the only sector to see an increase, while spending across all other sectors fell. 

Overall, POS transactions dropped by 7.5 percent to SR11.3 billion, continuing a downward trend after a 2.6 percent increase in early October. 

The education sector experienced the biggest decline, with spending down 25.3 percent to SR94.1 million. Telecommunications and public utilities followed with drops of 14.7 percent and 12.4 percent, recording SR103.6 million and SR48.4 million, respectively. 

In contrast, spending on construction and building materials recorded the smallest decline, dipping 4.1 percent to SR331.2 million. 

Restaurant and cafe expenditures fell 5 percent to SR1.76 billion, while gas station spending dropped 5.7 percent to SR866.4 million.  

Looking at the biggest value of transactions this week, the food and beverages sector stepped down from the first spot as the biggest share of the POS, recording an 8.6 percent decrease to SR1.74 billion. 

This was followed by miscellaneous goods and services at SR1.3 billion with an 8.3 percent dip. 

Together, the top three categories accounted for nearly 45 percent of the week’s total POS value at SR5.1 billion. 

Geographically, Riyadh dominated POS transactions, representing 34.7 percent of the total, with spending in the capital reaching SR3.9 billion, recording a decrease of 6.9 percent. 

Jeddah followed closely with a 6.8 percent dip to SR1.5 billion, accounting for 13.8 percent of the total, and Dammam came in third at SR587 million, down by 6.3 percent. 

Hail saw the biggest decrease in spending, down by 10.3 percent to SR174 million. Abha and Buraidah also experienced declines, with expenditures dipping 8.3 percent and 9.1 percent to SR137 million and SR266.6 million, respectively. 

In terms of the number of transactions, Hail recorded the highest decrease for the second week in a row at 7.9 percent, reaching 3,478. Tabouk and Madinah followed with declines at 7.7 percent and 5.3 percent, reaching 4,362 and 8,038 transactions respectively. 


‘Increasingly challenging’ to form global industrial partnerships, warns top Saudi minister

Updated 23 October 2024
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‘Increasingly challenging’ to form global industrial partnerships, warns top Saudi minister

RIYADH: Industrial policies pursued in isolation could lead to supply chain issues and fragmentation across the sector, a top Saudi official has warned.

Speaking at the two-day Multilateral Industrial Policy Forum in Riyadh, the Kingdom’s Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources, Bandar Alkhorayef, said International partnerships and deep cooperation are required to achieve goals in the industrial sector and create employment opportunities.

The second edition of MIPF comes as the Kingdom works on its National Industrial Strategy, which aims to build a sector that attracts investment, enhances economic diversification, and develops its gross domestic product and non-oil exports. 

“We all share common imperatives. We must strengthen resilience, national security, build competitive advantages and prepare for the jobs of the future, driven by the rapid transformation of the industrial sector. No country can achieve these global goals alone. International partnerships and deep cooperation across sectors are essential,” said Alkhorayef. 

He added: “However, the formation of these partnerships is becoming increasingly challenging as industrial strategies pursued in isolation can lead to further fragmentation and instability in the global supply chain, undermining opportunities for growth opportunities for growth.” 

During his speech, Alkhorayef said that governments have a crucial role in fostering the industrial sector by strengthening human capital and developing regulations that encourage innovation and investments, both in the physical space and digital infrastructure. 

“By aligning our policies and fostering synergy, we can complement each other’s strengths, create more resilience by change, and open new market opportunities. We also can learn from each other’s best practices. We can address common challenges and build a stronger industrial landscape,” said the minister.

He added that Saudi Arabia’s industrial sector has undergone a significant transformation, and it has become more diverse with the Kingdom providing more opportunities to private entities and small and medium enterprises. 

“This evolving landscape fosters research, development and innovation, ensuring sustainable growth of the sector,” said Alkhorayef. 

Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister. AN

During the same event, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister, said that the international economy is currently facing considerable challenges due to geopolitical tensions, which could ultimately affect the global supply chain. 

The minister added that developing nations are more vulnerable to supply chain issues than developed countries. 

“I honestly believe that the biggest victim of this supply chain issue will be the least developing nations,” said the energy minister. 

During his speech, Prince Abdulaziz also highlighted that Saudi Arabia is pursuing its industrial advancement journey in a sustainable manner. He also discussed the various measures taken by the Kingdom to ensure a green future. 

“We’re engaged in so many things, including carbon capture, gas and renewables. We are doing everything to reduce greenhouse gas emissions; this will help the industry in achieving the sustainability of ambitions and enhance energy system resilience while supporting the National Industrial Strategy,” said Prince Abdulaziz. 

He added: “The Kingdom is also developing policies and regulations that are instrumental in new energy sectors, such as clean hydrogen. We have introduced policies to improve energy efficiency that they said, and enhance feedstock utilization, particularly in energy-intensive sectors.” 

Gerd Muller, director general of the UN Industrial Development Organization, told the forum that global challenges, including population growth and food scarcity, could only be resolved by implementing sustainable industrialization. 

“Industry is not the problem. Industry is a key part of the solution to reach our sustainable development goals. Sustainable industrialization is needed for job creation, economic growth, and fighting poverty and capital creation. It provides an answer to the challenges of growing population and increasing food and energy demand,” said Muller. 

The UNIDO director general added that the second edition of MIPF is not about simply conveying challenges. Instead, the event will concentrate on sharing solutions. 

Muller also underscored the importance of having a robust and transparent industrial strategy for every country to accelerate sustainable progress in this sector. 

“A clear industrial strategy in every country is a framework for investments, as well as political and legal stability and peace. Moreover, huge investments are necessary over the next decade in infrastructure, technology and education. It is clear, without investments, there is no industrialization,” he said. 

Lauding Saudi Arabia’s green initiatives, the UNIDO official added that the world requires innovative solutions to foster economic growth and maintain lower emissions. 

“We need a green transition in industry, energy and agriculture, promoting decarbonization and carbon capture technologies, investing in renewable energies such as green hydrogen and circular economy,” Muller said.


Saudi Arabia raises $2.09bn in October sukuk issuance 

Updated 23 October 2024
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Saudi Arabia raises $2.09bn in October sukuk issuance 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s National Debt Management Center raised SR7.83 billion ($2.09 billion) through its riyal-denominated sukuk issuance in October, a sharp 201 percent increase from the previous month. 

In September, the issuance totaled SR2.60 billion. 

This marks a continuation of the Kingdom’s strong activity in the sukuk market, following SR6.01 billion in August, SR3.21 billion in July, and SR4.4 billion in June. 

Sukuk, or Islamic bonds, are Shariah-compliant financial instruments that offer investors partial ownership in an issuer’s assets. 

The increase in Saudi Arabia’s sukuk issuance aligns with a broader trend highlighted by Moody’s, which noted in September that global sukuk markets are on track for a robust 2024, with issuance volumes expected to exceed 2023 levels despite a slowdown in the second half of the year. 

S&P Global also projected that global Shariah-compliant bond issuance could reach between $200 billion and $210 billion this year, up from just under $200 billion in 2023. 

According to a statement released by NDMC, the October issuance was divided into five tranches, with the first valued at SR823 million, maturing in 2029.  

The second tranche totaled SR320 million, set to mature in 2031, while the third was SR2.18 billion, maturing in 2034.  

The fourth tranche, worth SR1.43 billion, matures in 2036, and the fifth, valued at SR3.07 billion, is set to mature in 2039. 

Earlier this month, Fitch Ratings noted that sukuk issuances globally are rising on improved financing conditions followed by the US Federal Reserve’s rate cuts to 5 percent in September.  

The US-based agency said that interest rates are expected to be 4.5 percent and 3.5 percent by the end of 2024 and 2025, respectively, resulting in a boost in sukuk issuances in the short term.  

Fitch added that outstanding global sukuk reached $900 billion by the end of the third quarter of 2024, an 8.5 percent increase year-on-year.  

In a separate August report, Fitch highlighted the UK’s position as a key center for Islamic finance, with the London Stock Exchange ranking as the third-largest listing venue for US dollar-denominated sukuk globally.